Sunday, October 25, 2009

Cox Plate review



Bart Cummings. What a star!! To do what he did on one of the biggest stages of spring was simply unbelievable. But while we marvel at So You Think, Glen Boss and Cummings it is time to review the top 6 from Saturday's big race.

1.
14. SO YOU THINK (7)......$11
For
Bart Cummings.
His sire has won over this distance.
Glenn Boss.

Against
Experience?
Still learning. Green?
Has only won one race.

Rizzo Says:
Bart has it here for a reason. Top 4 chance.


Pretty accurate. Bart did it have it there for a reason and Boss' sensational ride set up the win. No doubt over the distance now. Was taken to the front (I thought it would go back) and never looked like losing.

2.
13. MANHATTAN RAIN (14)...$21
For
Gun three year old.
Third up and ready to peak.

Against
Outside gate hurts which will make it hard to cross.
Hasn't shown any indication that he can hit the line hard over the distance.

Rizzo Says:
A bit young for this. Will prefer to see him develop first. Pass.


Wrong call. Manhattan Rain backed up its great Caulfield run with another ripper here. The light weight helped and Craig Williams rode it to perfection.

3.
2. ZIPPING (2).........$13

For
Battled hard last year against Maldivian and has had some good lead in form.

Against
He is yet to win a group one.
A slow tempo could cost him.

Rizzo Says:
I think I will pass on him this year. A chance for the first fours.


Ran a much better race then what I thought. Managed to hold on for third and battled away hard. Has to be set for it's third straight Sandown Classic. If it runs it will win easily.

4.
1. EL SEGUNDO (13).....$13
For
He has been there and done that and is now getting back to full strength.
Colin Little said he is prime for this and I think this is the case as well.
Will sit behind Whobe and get a gun run.

Against
He hasn't had the greatest lead in form wise.

Rizzo Says:
A massive shot. I like the $13 and will have a bit.


WOW, what a massive run from the big El. Came storming home out wide and nearly snuck into the places. Nolan rode El to perfection and he continues to show he is a quality racehorse.

5.
5. SCENIC SHOT (6).......$17
For
Super strong horse who never gives up.
Has won at this distance in good fields.
Not bad form going into the race.
Morton has set him for this.

Against
This is an exceptionally hard field.
Couldn't back up Turnbull form last year.

Rizzo Says:
Massive each way chance. Should get a gun run and has been set for this.


Battled along well and just didn't have that kick when it was needed. I suspect the conditions of the turf didn't suit him as well as something a little softer would have.

6.

10. WHOBEGOTYOU (10).....$2.90
For
Loves Moonee Valley.
Awesome lead up form.
Knows what it takes to win.

Against
Can't get to far back if the pace is slow.


Rizzo Says:
Can't find a reason why he will lose. Get on.


ollie would have been stoked with the pace up front. Loomed as a serious player, but found no kick. Stuck on well but will be spelled now.



All in all a very good day. If you ever doubt Bart Cummings again you will pay for it!!

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